VCM.fyi Forensic Intelligence Monitor
Forensic Intelligence
AI-powered weekly scanning of every carbon project across 100+ sources, delivering categorized intelligence memos with verifiable citations.
All Issued
Projects Scanned Weekly
100+
Sources Monitored
6
Intelligence Categories
Weekly
Scanning Cadence
The Forensic Intelligence Monitor is VCM.fyi's core capability. Every week, our AI engine scans every issued carbon project in our database across more than 100 sources — news outlets, regulatory filings, registry updates, scientific publications, and industry databases — to generate structured intelligence memos for each project.
See It in Action
The Problem
Carbon market professionals currently rely on periodic human assessments from rating agencies that update quarterly or annually. By the time a controversy, regulatory change, or market shift affects a project, traditional rating updates are weeks or months behind. A single missed event — a community conflict, a methodology dispute, a regulatory moratorium — can turn a "safe" credit into a reputational liability overnight.
How It Works
Multi-Prompt Architecture
Each project is scanned through four specialized prompts, each targeting a different intelligence domain: Article 6 bilateral agreements and ITMOs, CORSIA aviation offsetting status, carbon pricing mechanisms (ETS and carbon taxes), and VCM regulatory developments (export restrictions, moratoriums, offtake agreements). This multi-prompt approach ensures no intelligence category is missed due to prompt length constraints.
AI with Real-Time Web Search
Each prompt is executed using our proprietary AI engine with live web search grounding — the AI doesn't rely on training data alone. It actively searches the web during analysis, grounding every claim in current, verifiable sources. This means findings are timestamped and cited, not hallucinated from stale training data.
Semantic Deduplication
After scanning, a second-pass AI model performs semantic deduplication — identifying and merging findings that describe the same event in different words across different sources. This eliminates noise while preserving distinct findings that may appear similar but carry different implications.
Categorization and Delivery
Each finding is categorized into one of six intelligence categories: Integrity, Market & Offtake, Operational, Price Discovery, Regulatory, and Social & Community. Findings include source citations, market impact assessments, and "new this week" flags for fresh developments.
Data Sources
- Real-time web search (live Google Search grounding)
- Carbon registry updates (Verra, Gold Standard, ACR, CAR, Isometric, Puro Earth)
- News outlets (Carbon Pulse, Reuters, Bloomberg, Environmental Finance)
- Regulatory filings and government publications
- Scientific publications and academic research
- Industry databases and market reports
- NGO and civil society reports
- Project Design Documents (coming soon — PDDs will be scanned as an additional source for deeper project-level intelligence)
Technical Details
AI Engine
Proprietary AI with live Google Search grounding for real-time web access. Semantic deduplication uses a separate model pass optimized for cross-document similarity detection.
Processing Pipeline
Every Friday, all issued projects are scanned in parallel, deduplicated, and delivered to the platform — typically available within hours of scan completion.
Deal Flow Detection
The scanning prompts include specific markers for commercial activity: offtake agreements, forward purchase agreements, Letters of Intent (LOIs), Emission Reduction Purchase Agreements (ERPAs), and volume commitments. These are flagged under the Market & Offtake category.
Ground Truth Baselines
Each prompt embeds verified reference data to reduce hallucination: ICAO CORSIA 6th Edition (130 participating states), Article 6 Implementation Status Report (A6ISR) FY2024, and World Bank Carbon Pricing Dashboard. The AI cross-checks its search findings against these baselines.
Quality & Accuracy
- Every finding includes a source citation with URL — users can verify any claim directly
- Semantic deduplication removes 15-30% of raw findings that are duplicates phrased differently across sources
- Ground truth baselines prevent the AI from contradicting verified reference data (ICAO CORSIA states list, World Bank carbon pricing data)
- Weekly cadence means stale findings are naturally displaced by fresh intelligence
- Market impact assessment provides a qualitative severity indicator for each finding
Update Frequency
Every Friday. Full scan of all issued projects with results available the same day. Historical findings are preserved — the platform shows the complete intelligence timeline for each project.
Related Methodologies
Proponent Risk Assessment
AI-powered due diligence on carbon project developers, scoring risk across five dimensions with investment recommendations and source citations.
Country Policy Intelligence
Weekly AI-powered tracking of carbon market policies across 150+ countries, covering Article 6, CORSIA, carbon pricing, and VCM regulations.
Data Pipeline
Daily automated collection, harmonization, and delivery of project and credit data from 6 carbon registries into a single unified database.
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